Monthly runoff prediction using phase space reconstruction

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چکیده

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Monthly runoff prediction using phase space reconstruction

A nonlinear prediction method, developed based on the ideas gained from deterministic chaos theory, is employed: (a) to predict monthly runoff; and (b) to detect the possible presence of chaos in runoff dynamics. The method first reconstructs the single-dimensional (or variable) runoff series in a multi-dimensional phase space to represent its dynamics, and then uses a local polynomial approach...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Hydrological Sciences Journal

سال: 2001

ISSN: 0262-6667,2150-3435

DOI: 10.1080/02626660109492833